"They Know Me"
If their tables at last week's HobNob were any indication of competitiveness, Brian Bosma must be fairly confident:
Each legislative district in the Indianapolis area was assigned a single table, divided carefully down the middle by a strip of red ribbon. State Rep. David Orentlicher, D-Indianapolis, filled his side of the District 86 table (the left side, of course) with T-shirts, stickers and pamphlets. On the right side, Republican Kathryn Densborn, trying to unseat Orentlicher, had hats, pamphlets, stickers and other items to hand out. Pretty much every inch of the table was filled, reflecting the closeness of the race between them. A couple of tables away, though, it was a different picture. Democrat Susan Fuldauer had filled her side of the District 88 table with campaign literature and talked about the race at length to anyone she could. Her opponent? House Speaker Brian C. Bosma, R-Indianapolis. Bosma's side of the table was bare. Nothing. Zip. Nada. He didn't need any buttons or pamphlets, he said. "For this crowd," he said, referring to the Chamber of Commerce members, "they know who I am. They know where I stand. They don't need a slick item with my picture on it."
The Howey Political Report ranks Bosma's race as "Lean Bosma."
IN-08: 3Q Reporting
Hostettler
Ellsworth
3Q Net Raised
165,252
430,322
3Q Spent
90,894
693,568
PAC (Total)
16,950
144,523
Debts
9,000
0
CoH
269,704
413,464
IN-09: 3Q Reporting
Sodrel
Hill
3Q Net Raised
437,053
364,542
3Q Spent
486,720
405,019/h3>
PAC (Total)
219,048
111,200
Debts
251,927
0
CoH
1,072,320
927,402
IN-02: 3Q Reporting
Chocola
Donnelly
2Q Net Raised
809,010
551,284
2Q Spent
1,361,584
662,852
PAC (Total)
362,900
153,074
Debts
0
125,400
CoH
1,001,909
333,450
IN-02: 2Q Reporting
Chocola
Donnelly
2Q Net Raised
365,863
176,332
2Q Spent
238,236
63,239
PAC (Total)
180,094
69,368
Debts
0
125,400
CoH
1,554,483
435,216
IN-09: 2Q Reporting
Sodrel
Hill
2Q Net Raised
462,363
375,954
2Q Spent
169,795
96,065
PAC (Total)
205,303
141,900
Debts
255,427
0
CoH
1,138,747
967,879
IN-08: 2Q Reporting
Hostettler
Ellsworth
2Q Net Raised
168,484
354,910
2Q Spent
29,182
211,900
PAC (Total)
46,550
164,552
Debts
9,000
0
CoH
195,146
676,476
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
46%
Hill (D)
44%
Undecided
4%
Schansberg
5%
Survey USA / WHAS-TV poll of 538 LVs, conducted 10/31-11/2. MoE +/- 4.3%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Donnelly (D)
50%
Chocola (R)
47%
Undecided
3%
South Bend Tribune / WSBT / Research 2000 poll of 400 LVs, MoE of +/- 5%. Conducted Oct. 30-31.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Donnelly (D)
52%
Chocola (R)
39%
Undecided
6%
Reuters poll of 500 LVs, conducted Oct. 24-29. MoE +/- 4.5 percentage points.
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
46%
Hill (D)
47.5%
Undecided
4%
Reuters poll of 500 LVs, conducted Oct. 24-29. MoE +/- 4.5 percentage points.
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
45%
Hill (D)
47%
Undecided
8%
Research 2000 / WISH-TV poll conducted Oct. 17-20 of 400 LVs. MoE +/- 5%.
IN-08: General Election Matchup
Hostettler (R)
43%
Ellsworth (D)
50%
Undecided
7%
Research 2000 / WISH-TV poll conducted Oct. 17-20 of 400 LVs. MoE +/- 5%.
MCP: General Election Matchup
Brizzi (R)
50%
Kennedy (D)
42%
Undecided
8%
Research 2000 / WISH-TV poll conducted Oct. 17-20 of 400 LVs. MoE +/- 5%.
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
43%
Hill (D)
47%
Other/Undecided
5%
Schansberg (L)
5%
Survey USA / WHAS-TV poll of 519 LVs conducted 10/20-22. MoE +/- 4.4%.
MCP: General Election Matchup
Brizzi (R)
51%
Kennedy (D)
35%
Other/Undecided
14%
WTHR / Selzer & Co. Inc. poll of 600 LVs. Conducted 10/16-18, MoE +/- 4%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
45%
Donnelly (D)
50%
Undecided
5%
WSBT and Research 2000; telephone poll of 400 LVs, Oct. 16-17. MoE +/-5%.
IN-08: General Election Matchup
Hostettler (R)
32%
Ellsworth (D)
55%
Undecided
11%
Evansville Courier Press / Indiana State University poll of 626 LVs, conducted 10/5-12. MoE +/- 3.9%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
46%
Donnelly (D)
50%
Undecided
4%
Majority Watch RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics poll, MoE +/- 3.07%; surveyed 989 voters 10/8-10/10.
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
46%
Hill (D)
48%
Other/Undecided
6%
WHAS-TV/SurveyUSA poll of 512 LVs, MoE +/- 4.4%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
36%
Donnelly (D)
52%
Undecided
12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 10/4-5 for the DCCC of 400 LVs; MoE +/- 4.9%
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
44%
Donnelly (D)
45%
Undecided
11%
A Mercury Public Affairs (R) poll; conducted 10/9 for Chocola, surveying 300 LVs; MoE +/- 5.66%
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
39%
Donnelly (D)
49%
Undecided
12%
Reuters/Zogby poll, conducted 9/25-10/2 of 502 LVs; MoE +/- 4.5% Party identification: 44%D, 40%R, 16%I/O.
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
38%
Hill (D)
46%
Undecided
16%
Reuters/Zogby poll, conducted 9/25-10/2 of 500 LVs; MoE +/- 4.5% Party identification: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I/O.
IN-08: General Election Matchup
Hostettler (R)
31.8%
Ellsworth (D)
47.4%
Undecided
16.6%
No Response
4.1%
Indiana State University / Evansville Courier Press poll, of 603 registered voters, conducted Sept. 6-21, MoE +/- 4%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
42%
Donnelly (D)
50%
Undecided
8%
WSBT and Research 2000; telephone poll of 400 LVs, Sept. 15-17. MoE +/-5%.
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
40%
Donnelly (D)
52%
Undecided
7%
IN-08: General Election Matchup
Hostettler (R)
45%
Ellsworth (D)
51%
Undecided
4%
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
42%
Hill (D)
53%
Undecided
5%
Majority Watch, RT Strategies & Constituent Dynamics. IN-02 data: Sept. 8-10, 1003 respondents; MoE +/- 3.09%. IN-08 data: Sept. 8-10, 1031 respondents; MoE +/- 3.04%. IN-09 data: Sept. 8-10, 1017 respondents; MoE +/- 3.07%.
IN-08: General Election Matchup
Hostettler (R)
40%
Ellsworth (D)
44%
Undecided
16%
IN-09: General Election Matchup
Sodrel (R)
40%
Hill (D)
46%
Undecided
14%
MCP: General Election Matchup
Brizzi (R)
42%
Kennedy (D)
43%
Undecided
15%
IN-09: Worth Going to War
Yes
43%
No
46%
Not Sure
11%
IN-08: Worth Going to War
Yes
45%
No
45%
Not Sure
10%
IN-07: Worth Going to War
Yes
30%
No
59%
Not Sure
11%
Research 2000 poll, conducted Sept. 5-8, MoE +/- 5% of 800 LVs for WISH-TV
IN-02: General Election Matchup
Chocola (R)
41%
Donnelly (D)
46%
Undecided
13%
IN-02: Chocola as Rep.
Approve
47%
Disapprove
47%
IN-02: Donnelly (D) Favorability
Favorable
43%
Unfavorable
31%
IN-02: Chocola (R) Favorability
Favorable
45%
Unfavorable
44%
Conducted 7/21-23 for the South Bend Tribune and WSBT-TV; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 5%